Allan Lichtman - Who Claims to Have Predicted 9/10 Presidential Elections, And Now Says Kamala Will Win - is a FRAUD
He is a total fraud, yet the mainstream media is taking him seriously for some reason.
As the fake news media attempts to manipulate public opinion and make Kamala Harris’ victory seem inevitable, they are trotting out political analysts, such as Harvard Professor Allan Lichtman, to claim that Harris is going to win. A closer examination of Lichtman’s methodology and track record demonstrates that he’s essentially a fraud.
Lichtman claimed last week that Harris will win the 2024 election, with media outlets such as the New York Times and USA Today claiming that he has successfully predicted 9 out of the last 10 presidential elections to give him an air of credibility to unsuspecting readers.
Lichtman bases his political soothsaying from his mystical “13 Keys,” described as “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.” His keys pertain to such attributes as economic performance, social unrest, foreign policy, charisma, but are ultimately subject to Lichtman’s own biases when determining who has an edge in each of the keys.
Lichtman gives Harris the edge over eight of the 13 keys and made the prediction that she will win the election as a result.
“Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” Lichtman said in the video of his announcement. “The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House.”
However, a conservative video blogger has provided evidence that Lichtman is a charlatan who adjusts his “13 Keys” metric and engages in obfuscation to protect his supposed record of accuracy and prop up his con.
The video, posted on TikTok by user PatriotDadEV2.0, criticized Lichtman for his “subjectivity” and his “tailoring his predictions to a result of an election” after it already concluded.
“The only [presidential election predictions] that he's gotten right are the ones that a blind squirrel could have gotten right. But the close elections, he's gotten them all wrong,” the video blogger stated.
The video demonstrated how Lichtman has changed his “13 Keys” formula arbitrarily from predicting the national popular vote to predicting the result of the election. This allegedly occurred after the 2016 election, where Lichtman supposedly picked Trump to win the election but not on the criteria of his “13 Keys.”
"A disciplined examination of the circumstances surrounding presidential elections since the 1850s discloses a remarkably consistent set of factors, or "keys," that can forecast the outcome of the popular vote in every election," Lichtman wrote in the introduction to his book that introduced the “13 Keys” concept back in 1990.
"When five or fewer keys are false, the incumbent party wins the popular vote; when six or more are false, the challenging party prevails," he stated.
Lichtman has moved the goalposts, hoping nobody would notice to sustain his façade of being an election prediction guru, with help from the complicit media.
The video also analyzed the subjective nature of Lichtman’s “13 Keys” and reapplied them to the Harris vs. Trump presidential battle. The blogger determined that 11 of Lichtman’s keys have clearly been a failure for Harris, which would make Trump the victor in this year’s election.
"[Lichtman] doesn't seem to pay attention to the economic sentiment. He's not paying attention to the failures and successes on foreign policy of the Biden administration. Instead, he counts most of those to be true when in reality, they're false. This guy is a charlatan, and this guy is wrong, and this guy is going to change his prediction after the fact and pretend he's right. You watch," the video concluded.
To see Lichtman’s political acumen on full display, just a little over two months ago, he was advocating for Biden to continue as the Democrat presidential candidate despite his obvious lack of mental fitness, arguing vehemently on his behalf during a CNN appearance. At that time, Lichtman claimed that the Democrats would lose if Biden was replaced.
"It's a huge mistake. They're not doctors. They don't know whether Biden is physically capable of carrying out a second term or not. Remember, a lot of folks were saying the same thing about Ronald Reagan," Lichtman said during an interview on CNN.
"This is all foolhardy nonsense. The same pundits and pollsters who led us down the primrose path in 2016 are giving the Democrats horrible advice,” he added.
Lichtman also made clear his antipathy for President Trump, making comments during several different CNN appearances expressing his tremendous disdain for the man – even going as far to chastise media hacks for not being biased enough against Trump.
"Republicans are sticking a blatant liar who lied for every one minute and 20 seconds of that debate," Lichtman said, referring to Trump’s first debate earlier this year with Biden.
"You are complicit in Donald Trump lying and conning his way into the presidency," Lichtman stated during another appearance on CNN this summer. “All of the attention has been on Biden’s faltering debate, but Donald Trump’s debate was vastly worse. It was based entirely on lies.”
“He threatened our democracy… He said he would seek retribution. Why wasn’t that the headlines? Why wasn’t that the greatest concern from the debate rather than all the focus on Joe Biden? Ya know, there’s an old saying, it's not just the wicked people who bring havoc upon the world but it's the good people who don't do enough to stop them,” Lichtman added.
After Lichtman’s shilling for Biden failed, he quickly shifted gears, altered his formula again, and immediately got on the Harris train. A man who is this deranged with hatred, who argued that Biden was fine to run for President after he was exposed as a vegetable to the world, does not have the objectivity to run any sort of prediction model with accuracy. Lichtman is simply another huckster grifting within a media atmosphere that rewards anti-Trump hysterics.
I will note that this fraud has stated, just like every other anti-Trump media personality, that "Trump lied" throughout his debate against Joke Briben, yet they never give examples of his alleged lies or tell how that alleged lie is even relevant.
I will also note that predicting the winner of the national popular vote is easy, because the Democrat candidate has won every one of those starting in 1992 (except 2004 and the fraudulent 2020 cases). I don't need to state the obvious: The national popular vote statistic is irrelevant, but I just did. If California is excluded, then the Republican candidate has won every national popular vote since at least 1968. So the Republican candidate has won the popular vote in a 49-state election, and lost California since 2000. But that's meaningless.
The last point about that fraud is: WHich prediction of his counts as the official prediction? Is it the first prediction, the last prediction before votes are tabulated after Election Day (now known as Election Season), or the one he issues the day after the oficial vote tabulations are released?
"...but it's the good people who don't do enough to stop them,” Lichtman added.
EXACTLY why Trump got involved, at great (nearly ultimate) personal cost!
It is astonishing how so much of the debate last night was (just like the above) liars claiming the good guys are doing what they themselves are doing.